BREXIT - THE GOOD NEWS

The Financial Times Stock Exchange 100 Index
Since the vote for Brexit, the UK stock market has performed well.
The UK's manufacturing sector had a good September.
Merryn Somerset Webb
Merryn Somerset Webb in the Financial Times tells us that the Cloud over the pound has a silver lining.
According to Merryn Somerset Webb, the devaluation of the pound in 1949 (from $4.03 to $2.80) led to a rise in the stock market.
Most big UK companies are currently benefiting from the fall in the pound.
The UK needs its economy to rebalance.
Greece, Italy and Portugal all need to re-balance, but it is not easy when they are stuck with the Euro and the EU.
In 1967 sterling was devalued again (from $2.80 to $2.40).
The stock market then rose 30% in 1968.
Most big UK companies are currently benefiting from the fall in the pound.

Switzerland is not in the EU, and is 'very rich'.
Before Brexit, the UK's huge current account deficit (difference between exports and imports) was about 6 per cent of GDP - near a peacetime record.
The UK needs its economy to rebalance.
The pound was over-valued - because of the constant flow of speculative capital into London.
The UK is now, to some extent, rebalancing its economy.

Greece has not been so lucky.
It is stuck with the Euro.
Greece, Italy and Portugal all need to re-balance, but it is not easy when they are stuck with the Euro and the EU.
MORE HERE: Cloud over the pound has a silver lining.
Labels: Brexit, devaluation, EU, FTSE, Merryn Somerset Webb, pound, rebalance, stock market


