Suwalki Gap - Likely expanding of war into Poland, Lithuania and Baltics?

Suwalki Gap in RED. Russia and allies in yellow. NATO in blue

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Suwalki Gap - Likely expanding of war into Poland, Lithuania and Baltics

Historically it is still a fog as to what exactly happened 84 years ago in August 1939 in the Danzig crisis. Conventional history says Nazis did a false flag of Poles attacking Germans; a minority thinks Poles provoked Germans on purpose, at British urging, in order to ignite full scale war.

And today we are also looking at a much larger war maybe about to start, in a similar 'fog', just 125 kilometres east of Danzig (Gdansk), in another former Prussian region, Kaliningrad that used to be Köningsberg, with all the pressure of both NATO and Russia on the 'Suwalki Gap', the 100-kilometre border run between Russia's Kaliningrad and Russia's ally Belarus.

Named after the Polish town of Suwałki, this gap or corridor is a vital intersection, with railway and highway lorry lines for the Russians ... and also the only land crossing between the Baltic States and the rest of NATO. Either side can cut off the other, map here:
https://blogs.plymouth.ac.uk/dcss/wp-content/uploads/sites/50/2017/06/suwalkigap.jpg



Russians have complained for a year that most of Russia's military was not used in Ukraine. But now the reason is clear ... Russia has been preparing for a possible wider war with NATO, which Russians say may be pushed onto them ... and which NATO says is Russia's plan.

Prigozhin's Wagner contractors are now not only near Kiev in Belarus ... these elite fighters of Russia are poised as well to seize the Suwalki gap and fight their way through to Kaliningrad and break any blockade.

We enter into a new dangerous war phase precisely because Ukraine has essentially lost. Ukraine is running out of fighters to die, and Western weaponry has proved much weaker than expected.

But the USA and the West likely cannot even tolerate 'freezing' things as they are. There are too many crises, a return to normal politics might allow upheaval. Expanded war might be necessary for elites to keep control. 

Upcoming we have-

- Western populations angry that money is wasted on war instead of on human needs
- An EU winter without cheap energy, in economic crisis ... endangering not only NATO but even the survival of the EU
- A visible failure of USA-NATO weaponry finally meeting a major adversary
- Escalating wheat and food prices making for global instability

Expanding the war solves many problems for the elites ... it 'explains' all crisis ... war with Russians on EU territory, can justify draconian censorship and quasi-dictatorship, in the EU and maybe the UK and elsewhere as well.

Kaliningrad land routes can be blockaded by Lithuania and Poland, and with Finland and Sweden going into Nato, via the Baltic sea as well. It may be 'unclear' as to what exactly is happening - just as in August 1939.

Blockade of the Russians was threatened by Lithuania last June, but the West backed off under Russian threat, still thinking Ukraine could pull off some success with NATO weaponry and mercenaries

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61878929

Also - Estonia has 29% Russians, Latvia 25% ... if the Baltics begin treating Russians harshly, or are claimed to do so, Russians have pretext for moving in.

As war blogger Simplicius notes, Ukraine may even become half-forgotten as the war expands West into EU-NATO lands. But as he also notes, even though hundreds of thousands of troops will be moving and in action on EU territory ... the West and Russia may well still work to keep conflict somewhat 'contained', well below 'nuclear'.

https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/putin-strikes-back-ukrainian-ports

The EU - already used to illegalities - can quickly impose a new continent-wide militaristic regime, national sovereignties even more curtailed. UK may adopt a 'war footing' as well. And the 'new larger' war in Europe, will give elites all the pretexts they need to end what was previously allowed as 'democracy'.